I just came across
this 2012 study, showing that a variety of pathogenic bacteria were able to survive for a shocking amount of time on the surface of chicken breasts in boiling water. The standard 6.5D Salmonella reduction table in Modernist Cuisine indicates that the pasteurization time at a temperature of 185 F (85 C) is 0.02 seconds. In this study, though, researchers report that it took about 2 minutes to obtain a 1D reduction in bacteria, even though the surface temperature of the chicken reached 85 C within 1 minute. That implies a 6.5D reduction time of 13 minutes in boiling water - 650 times longer than the 0.02 second time predicted by the pasteurization table! I am completely floored by this.
How much do we really know about pasteurization times? In doing further research,
this literature review explains that bacterial death observed in experiments often does not fit predicted linear behavior, and the reasons for this are complex and sometimes unclear. It also cites extensive research on heat tolerance in pathogenic bacteria. The situation sounds far more complicated and uncertain than the standard pasteurization tables led me to believe.
This 2015 study also found that FDA recommended cooking techniques for poultry (which seem excessive when compared with the Salmonella pasteurization table) did not eliminate all Salmonella bacteria in the most contaminated samples.
Finally, a
report prepared for the UK Food Standards Agency on the safety of sous vide cooking cautioned that there is insufficient data on the behavior of pathogens in the 40-60 C temperature range to create a reliable model for predicting bacterial death.
I would be very interested in hearing opinions on this. At the very least, the 2012 study calls the ChefSteps method for chicken tartare into serious question. It also leads me to wonder about how reliable the Salmonella pasteurization tables are. If they are primarily based on laboratory studies of bacterial cultures, do they really represent bacterial behavior on the surface of intact meat?